The record
Every settled match we have priced, scored in public. Nothing is removed because it went badly.
Scored in public
0.2060
BRIER SCORE
0.2987
NEVER-A-DRAW BASELINE
231
MATCHES SCORED
Expected 58.2 draws across those matches; 69 landed — a predicted rate of 25.2% against an actual 29.9%.
| week | season | expected | actual | brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | English 2026 | 10.9 | 6 | 0.1216 |
| 13 | English 2026 | 11.6 | 13 | 0.1868 |
| 12 | English 2026 | 12.7 | 19 | 0.2504 |
| 11 | English 2026 | 12.8 | 15 | 0.2198 |
| 10 | English 2026 | 10.3 | 16 | 0.2546 |